Archive for the ‘Spanish Primera’ Category

Valencia – Getafe

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Last weekend Valencia struggled to take a point against Gijon, thus confirming that they haven’t yet handled their crisis. On the other hand Getafe also drew in the last round, after losing three points in the last moments of the match against Almeria.

Big blow in Bruges for shaken Los Che

Valencia won only one of last five games, which is a reason for worry. After an excellent breakthrough Juan Mata helped his side to a point in Gijon, while in the midweek game Los Che lost in Bruges, mostly thanks to the red card for David Silva. Coach Emery was evidently angry at the referees in Europa League, as his players were practically beaten and the referee didn’t even react. Precisely for that reason Emery will have to do without his left back against Getafe, as Mathieu got injured, while Del Horno was sent on loan to Valladolid. Since the hosts are out of form and they usually concede against Getafe, we think that Betfair’s offer of 1.60 for the hosts to concede might pay off.

Los Che play much better away this season, while they are quite unpredictable at home. Still, the good thing is the excellent tradition against Getafe that tells us that Valencia have never lost against these rivals at Mestalla, as far as the league games are concerned. Also team’s best scorer David Villa is an expert on duels against Getafe and since Messi stepped in on top of the score sheet ahead of him, we have no doubts that he will do anything to improve his scoring record. Bwin offer 1.90 for Villa to score.

Getafe haven’t yet drawn an away game

Getafe dropped the victory in the last round, after they conceded a last-minute goal against Almeria. The visitors are still not giving up their European ambitions and they are only three points behind sixth-placed La Coruna. In order to make their European dream come true, Getafe must improve their away form, as they took only three points in the last five games. Coach Michel can count on Manu del Morall in this game. Precisely this player was fatal for Los Che defense in the first game, when he brought three points for his team, so we have no doubts that he will look forward to create some more problems for the incomplete defense of the hosts. Odds for Manu del Morall to score are 3.75 at 888 Sport.

Getafe usually conceded a lot when they play away, though they rarely concede more than one goal, except for the games against Mallorca, Real and Barcelona. Odds on the visitors to concede under 1.5 goals are 1.62 at Sporting Bet.

Betting verdict

In the last five games Valencia have won only one game on home ground and it was against Zaragoza, which speaks best of their form. Getafe can’t boast good away form, especially on this ground, but still they seem better than the hosts. Having in mind that the visitors haven’t drawn a single away game, we think that this is the perfect chance for that to change.

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Almeria – Atl. Madrid

Last weekend Almeria reached a precious point in the relegation battle, after they managed to fight a last minute draw against Getafe. Atletico Madrid reached a huge success when they beat current champions Barcelona at home, thus dealing them the first blow this season.

Points at home, crucial for survival

After a pretty boring first half in Madrid suburbs, Almeria opened the score through Piatti, but Getafe soon overturned the deficit, only for red-white to fight a deserved point through Soriano in the last minutes of the game. Almeria have never before beaten Atletico Madrid, while they still haven’t lost to Colchoneros in front of their fans. Since the visitors arrive after two tough games in the last week, we think that Victor Chandler’s offer of 1.53 for Almeria not to lose is worth a shot.

A problem for Almeria is definitely away form, where they suffered the only two defeats in the last ten rounds. Still, great number of draws didn’t allow them move farther ahead of the dangerous zone and the only way for them to survive is to win at home. Almeria never calculate when playing at home, but they play for the score, regardless of the rivals. As they are pretty efficient and they can’t boast good defense, we think that Blue Square’s offer of 1.75 for both teams to score seems reasonable.

Nothing new in Madrid, Barcelona fell again

Regardless of the fact that Atletico are not nearly as good as they were last season, they managed to record another triumph over Barcelona in front of their fans. We should certainly mention that Catalans fielded a weakened back line, which Forlan once again used, while Simao showed his expertise in free kicks. By the middle of the week Madrid side failed to repeat the success at home against Galatasaray, even though they reached the minimum lead through Reyes, the visitors from Istanbul still managed to level the score and provide themselves a good result before the returning leg in Turkey. The good new for Atletico fans i certainly the fact that the striker have snapped out of the winter dream and finally started scoring, which is why we have no doubts that Colchoneros will be glad to continue the trend. Odds on Atletico to score are 1.29 at Betfair.

In  the last seven games Diego Forlan scored five goals and he contributed the most to handling the crisis. In the last four duels against Almeria, Forlan failed to score only once. Considering the current form of this Uruguayan we expect him to continue the excellent tradition. Odds on Forlan to score are 2.50 at Paddy Power.

Betting verdict

Almeria are one of the worst hosts in the league and they need to take points at home if they plan to stay in the league. Atletico improved their form but the question is if they will have the strength to fight after exhausting matches against Barcelona and Galatasaray. That is why we suggest betting on over 2.5 goals, as a safer option.

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Real M. – Villarreal

Last weekend Real expectedly took three points from Xerez, which saw them close the gap behind Barcelona on only two points. Villarreal ended the run of two straight defeats, after beating Athletic Bilbao in front of their fans.

Old problems at Gerland

After an unconvincing first half against Xerez, Real players scored three goals in six minutes and reached precious points. BY the middle of the week Madrid didn’t have as much success in the Champions League, where they, as usually lost 1:0 in Lyon, which puts them in an uncomfortable position before the returning leg. Still, the good news for the home fans and the players is the excellent record against the yellow submarine, as they have never lost to Villarreal at Bernabeu. Also, Real’s boss Pellegrini was Villarreal’s boss for five years, so he knows the rival as the back of his hand. Having in mind that Real have no problems in Primera, we think that they will handle yellow submarine easily and suggest that you use William Hill’s offer of 2.00 for the hosts to score in both halves.

Cristiano Ronaldo and Kaka have shown in the last game that they are crucial signings this season, as if it weren’t for these two, the rest of the players would have a hard time against Xerez. These two players helped Real win the first match against yellow submarine and they will again be the biggest threat for Villarreal. That is why we suggest William Hill’s offer of 2.60 for Ronaldo or Kaka to score the first goal.

Twists and turn against the wolves

Last weekend Villarreal finished the job against Athletic Bilbao in the first half when they set the final result. BY the middle of the week, yellow submarine hosted German champions Wolfsburg and drew 2:2 at El Madrigal, while the tough test awaits less than a week from now at Volkswagen arena. Villarreal’s away form is terrible this season and they took only five points in the last ten away games, so they have nothing to hope for in Madrid. Having in mind that Javi Venta is injured, while Godin is suspended, weakened back line will have a hard time resisting the attacks of the hosts, which is why we think that Sporting bet’s offer of 2.30 for the visitors to concede more than two goals is worth a shot.

Since Real will attack from the start and during most of the game, we think that the visitors will have their chance in the counterattacks, so think about William Hill’s offer of 2.00 for both teams to score.

Betting verdict

Real have almost leveled the points with Barcelona and a new failure after the one in Lyon would definitely break the hearts of all fans. Villarreal arrive to Bernabeu with white flag, after the exhausting match against Wolfsburg and two defenders out, which is why we have no doubts that the hosts will win.

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Deportivo – Xerez

La Coruna lost 2:0 in Barcelona last week in the duel against Espanyol, but in spite of that result they are still on the position that leads to Europe next season. Xerez had their 45 minutes in the duel against Real, when they kept a clean sheet, but in the second part of the game they served as an easy sparring partner for Madrid side that scored three goals in ix minutes.

An ideal opponent for handling the crisis

Only one point and only one goal in the last three rounds is reason enough for concern and Deportivo are slowly moving away from the Champions League spot. Unless they improve their record in this game, they can definitely say goodbye to the elite competition.. The players will give their best in this game, because Sevilla and Mallorca, Champions league contenders, will cross swords in this round and Deportivo definitely want to use that. William Hill offer 2.62 for the hosts to score in both halves.

Good news for coach Lotina is definitely the recovery of several regular starters, who missed last few games. Guardado, Riki, Pablo Alvarez and Juan Domingez are back in the starting line-up and they will contribute to La Coruna’s stability. Riki is team’s best scorer and precisely his return will improve the terrible materialization and having in mind that they got on the score sheet in the duel against Xerez, we think that you should use 888 Sport’s offer of 2.45 for Riki to score.

Only three points taken away

Rock-bottom Xerez gave their best against the Royal club last weekend, but they still failed to avoid new convincing defeat and reduced their chances of survival even more. A problem for the caretaker coach are certainly new injuries in the last game against Real, that will see David Prieto and Fabian Belmonte out of the team. Xerez have taken only three points in ten away games and precisely that is the main reason why they are nailed to the bottom. We think that Xerez have nothing to hope for in this match, so think about Bet 365’s offer of 2.50 for the visitors to lose by two or more goals.

Everyone in the team have made their peace with relegation, so they will try to ruin other team’s plans till the end of the season. Xerez improved their materialization lately and they will have a lot of space for counterattacks here, which makes William Hill’s offer of 2.00 for both teams to score tempting.

Betting verdict

Deportivo have an excellent chance to end the negative crisis and get back to the Champions League contention. La Coruna easily celebrated 3:0 in the first part of the season and having in mind that the hosts will be stronger for several recovered starters, we think that it would be a waste not to use decent odds on home win.

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Barcelona – Santander

The last round saw evidently weakened Barcelona lost to Atletico Madrid, thus recording their first defeat this season. Santander can’t seem to get over the elimination from the cup, so they seemed completely discouraged in front of their fans against Malaga that easily celebrated 3:0 at El Sardinero.

Warm-up for Stuttgart

The absence of six defenders affected Barcelona’s performance, especially in the back line, led by Puyol with several other less-known players that play in B squad. That is why it was no surprise when Barcelona conceded two goals in twenty minutes, even though they had luck not to concede more. The attack was quite decent but just after pulling one back, Zlatan Ibrahimovic missed a perfect chance to level the score. Guardiola doesn’t have so much problems with the line-up before the match against Santander, as Marquez and Pique are back after suspension, while Toure and Chygrynski have recovered and started practicing with the team. Unlike these two, Dani Alves is still in the process of recovery, so Puyol will be in charge of the right flank in this match. Barcelona will definitely look to make up for the last week’s defeat in Madrid, as they want to regain the self-confidence before the duel in Stuttgart, so Santander players are in for a hard time at Camp Nou. That is why we suggest using Bet 365’s offer of 1.62 for Barcelona to win by more than one goal

One of world’s best players, Leo Messi didn’t live up to the expectations in the last round, which is why we have no doubts that the Argentinean will give his best to help his side take three points here. Messi scored five goals in the last three duels against Santander so we don’t see why this tradition shouldn’t continue. Odds on Messi to score are 1.67 at Victor Chandler.

Santander settled for the defeat even before the game started

By the middle of last week Santander recorded a pyrrhic victory in front of their fans in Copa Del Rey returning leg against Atletico Madrid and lost the last chance to book a place in Europe next season. Malaga profited the most from such a poor atmosphere in the club, as they easily beat the hosts at El Sardinero. A problem for coach Portugal before the game at Camp Nou will be the absence of team’s best scorer Tchite, who eared a red card in the last match. Regardless of the fact that racing play much better away, this team didn’t score in the last two away games and having in mind that they have never won at camp Nou, we think that you should use Betfair’s offer of 1.83 for the hosts to keep a clean sheet.

Santander conceded even ten goals in the last four games, while their players managed to score only four goals in the process. Having in mind the negative tradition on this ground, as well as the fact that the hosts will be extremely motivated, we think that Betfair’s offer of 1.86 for the visitors to lose both halves is worth a shot.

Betting verdict

Even though Barca won’t field a complete squad, they will start the game much stronger than last weekend. Real Madrid are only two points behind, so Barcelona simply must win this game. Tradition and poor form of the visitors favours the Catalans. Precisely that is why the odds on home win are too low, so we suggest that you bet on over 2.5 goals.

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